Greg Polson previews Wagga Sunday August 13

Greg Polson - Monday August 14

Punters could do a lot worse than have something on a $21 chance in the feature sprint at Wagga on Sunday.

The Chris Heywood-trained Ketchum will be chasing his ninth career win from 21-starts when he lines up in the Riverina Plaster Works 2017 Wagga Whiz (1000m) on Sunday.

Ketchum has an impressive record at Wagga with six of his career wins coming at home over the 1000m journey and with a wet track likely on Sunday six of the wins have been on soft and heavy ground.

Why is Ketchum a $21 chance?

Ketchum hasn't fired in two runs back from a break which looks the significant factor in such a big price being offered on Sunday but there were genuine excuses in each of the runs.

Ketchum finished fourth at Corowa resuming and the comments from Racenet's video analyst tell the tale.

"Caught 3WNC leader's heels. Hung badly on t and was close to outside rail losing many lengths. Once balanced-up ROS but damage done on t".

It would pay to completely ignore Ketchum's last start effort when down the track at Wagga over an unsuitable 1200m.

Again the Racenet video comments are self-explanatory.

"Sat 3WNC O/L. Just battled last 200m after wide run".

1200m is not Ketchum's go and punters should completely ignore the run.

Richard Bensley took over from an apprentice at Wagga and in my opinion connections had their eye firmly on Sunday's race at Wagga back to 1000m.

Many times when analysing horse races we add two and two together and come up with five.

Racing has to be the only sport in the world where "experts" are wrong more than they are right.

Odds are the key, at $21 the odds are lucrative enough to see if this analyst is right or wrong.

More Reading...
Opal Ridge Back to Best in Ortensia Stakes
Opal Ridge, the brilliant winner of the Listed Luskin Star Stakes last year, made it three wins from as many starts at Scone to capture Saturday’s Listed Emirates Park Ortensia Stakes (1100m) at Scone.
Sires With Winners - Saturday May 18
Here is the full list of 115 stallions which had winners throughout Australasia today with winners and result details.
Tannhauser Breaks Through in Rough Habit Stakes
After promising so much early on, Tannhauser was not spared the surgeon’s knife, which may set him on a track to the Queensland Derby following his dominant performance in Saturday’s Group III Seven Rough Habit Plate (2000m) at Doomben.
New SW for Per Incanto - Gringotts Wins at Doomben
New Zealand-bred gelding Gringotts took his promising career to new heights in Brisbane on Saturday with a first black-type success in the A$160,000 Listed Sky Racing Members’ Handicap (1600m) at Doomben.
The Melbourne Cup is on The Map for Andrew Ramsden Stakes Winner
A fortnight after her near four-length romp in the Group III Queen Elizabeth II Cup (2500m) at Morphettville, The Map reserved a spot in the 2024 Melbourne Cup with another strong staying performance in Saturday's Listed Lexus Andrew Ramsden Stakes (2800m) at Flemington.
Bargain Basement Mare Aureus Angel Storms to Victory in Bright Shadow Stakes
Purchased online for a mere $2,500 after breaking her maiden at Kembla, the Turffontein mare Aureus Angel has been a regular fixture in stakes races in Queensland this season and was rewarded at Doomben on Saturday when capturing the Magic Millions Bright Shadow Stakes (1100m).
New SW For Proisir
Islington Lass could have Group One goals on her radar after capping her breakthrough campaign with victory in Saturday’s Listed James Bull Rangitikei Cup (1600m) at Trentham.
Sacred Falls Mare Wins G3 Dark Jewel for Waikato Stud
In-form mare Fall For Cindy carried the Waikato Stud colours to a valuable first black-type victory in Saturday’s A$250,000 Gr.3 Coolmore Dark Jewel Classic (1400m) at Scone.
Invincible Filly Proves Her Class
She’s big and beautiful and I Am Invincible’s super talented filly Commemorative has long promised to win a stakes race and joined all the dots at Scone on Saturday finishing like an express train to win the $200,000 Listed Denise’s Joy Stakes (1100m) in a breeze.
Bella Nipotina Wins G1 Doomben 10,000
Pride of Dubai mare Bella Nipotina has been a busy girl this year lining up in five million dollar sprint races before heading to Doomben for the $1.5million BRC Doomben 10,000 (1200m) on Saturday and the Ciaron Maher trained six year-old pulled out her A game to down the favourite I Wish I Win in a thriller.