The top bets from Laurie Sainsbury for Saturday

Breednet - Saturday September 16

Laurie got a reminder of the old punting proverb last "you can’t eat value” but he’s back to do it all again and chomping at the bit to get into Saturday’s Flemington meeting.

LONE EAGLE (Flemington Race 2 No 6)
I have been waiting for this galloper to get back to Flemington and out to 1400m for some time. Last start he got back from a wide draw at Moonee Valley, checked twice between the 800 and 500m, and he should have finished closer in a leader dominated race won by Overshare. To the eye he looked to run on ok and the sectionals confirmed that. He’s drawn a good barrier and the step up in distance is a real plus. I will be playing Toga Picta with him in exotics.
ODDS $26 @ Sportsbet, Ladbrokes, CrownBet, Luxbet, Bet365, William Hill, Unibet, PalmerBet

SNITZSON (Flemington Race 3 No 6)
He resumed in the Aurie’s Star when fifth to Hey Doc then went to Caulfield second-up and was responsible for a good run behind Grande Rosso. He raced three wide that day with cover and kept coming to be beaten a length when fourth. Go back to his start prior to his spell when he came from 11th at the turn to run third in the Australian Guineas over 1600m here at Flemington. That run indicated that he possessed above-average ability as he had to weave a passage through traffic and was closing late. Mr Sneaky looks hard to beat, however, he is yet to place in two tries second-up. Will included Chocolate Holic as the wide gate beat him last start when carrying our cash.
ODDS $7.50 @ Sportsbet, Ladbrokes, CrownBet, Luxbet, William Hill, PalmerBet

HANS HOLBIEN (Flemington Race 8 No 6)
He’s on the seven-day back-up here after what looked to be an average run last week at Moonee Valley. In that race he was crowded shortly after the start necessitating Beau Mertens to ride him back out of his comfort zone. Wide when making his run and the race was again won by those advantaged on the speed and near the rail. He won here at Flemington on Anzac Day by eight lengths on a 10-day back-up and his chances are further enhanced if the track is rain-affected.
ODDS $7 @ Sportsbet, CrownBet, Luxbet, Bet365, William Hill, Unibet, PalmerBet

HARDHAM (Flemington Race 9 No 7)
Go back to last year when this horse resumed in the Vain Stakes at Caulfield when beaten half-a-length by Russian Revolution and then second-up he was beaten 3-1/2 lengths over 1200m by Defcon. They were his best runs in the spring but in the autumn he progressed to win the Alister Clark 2040m at Moonee Valle beating Ruthven which progressed to win the Queensland Derby. At his next and final run for that campaign was beaten less than a length in the Australian Derby behind Jon Snow. I liked the way he went through the line first-up behind Grande Rosso at Caulfield. Out to 1700m appeals and I think we will get better than the price shown come race day as his second-up form reads ordinary but this distance should suit. Tiamo Grace can be included in exotics if she gets a run.
ODDS $7.50 @ Sportsbet, Ladbrokes, CrownBet, Luxbet, Bet365, William Hill, Unibet, PalmerBet

Stallion Parade
More Reading...
Shocking Stayer Seeks to Emulate His Sire
In-form galloper Defibrillate is giving his New Zealand owners a great thrill, having strung together four consecutive wins in Melbourne, and he will be vying to extend it to five at Flemington on Saturday.
Who Were Australia’s Busiest Sires in 2020?
The Australian Studbook have today released updated statistics on the busiest sires in Australia in 2020 and despite the prevailing doom and gloom that cast a pall over last spring due to the worldwide pandemic and ensuing economic uncertainty, some 28 stallions still covered books of 150 or more mares, which was two more than in 2019.
Brilliant Lightning Victory for Nature Strip
Gifted jockey Jamie Kah brought her magic touch to enigmatic sprinter Nature Strip at Flemington on Saturday to bring out his best and win in the Group I VRC Lightning Stakes (1000m) over his fast finishing stablemate September Run.
Fourth Australian Winner for Frosted
Darley shuttler Frosted (USA) was making news at Inglis Premier this week when his filly from Miss Steele sold for $420,000 and he was back in the news again on Tuesday when siring his fourth Australian winner at Bendigo.
People at Premier Final Day
By any assessment the Inglis Melbourne Premier Sale was a runaway success so here’s the last instalment from Maree McEwan’s chats out and about with those involved.
Capacity Field Chasing Success in G2 Lowland Stakes
With only three legs remaining in the 2020-21 New Zealand Bloodstock Filly of the Year Series, Wednesday’s $100,000 Group Two Little Avondale Stud Lowland Stakes (2100m) at Hastings looms as a must-win for anyone with hopes of catching Amarelinha (NZ) (Savabeel). 
Legal Challenge Lodged Against US Stallion Cap
North American breeding news is highlighted today with news of a legal challenge lodged by three of the world’s biggest studs against The Jockey Club's new rule to restrict thoroughbred stallions foaled from 2020 onwards covering more than 140 mares each year.
Sires With Winners - Tuesday March 2
Here is the full list of 29 stallions which had winners throughout Australasia today with winners and result details.
Canadian Spice Breaks the Ice
Golden Slipper winner Vancouver posted his 25th Australian winner this season when talented filly Canadian Spice finally broke the ice at Kembla on Tuesday.
Premier First Season Sires – Almanzor Tops the List
Another major Australian yearling sale and another dominant showing from Cambridge Stud shuttler Almanzor (Fr), who had four yearlings average $182,500 at the Inglis Premier Yearling Sale in Victoria this week.